The idea of the American media conglomerate acquiring ITV has raised apprehensions about the effect on the UK's public service broadcasting, a situation that Channel 4’s new chief executive, who previously held a senior post at Sky, will be acutely aware of.
Sky’s ad sales head, Priya Dogra, will now be looked to to spearhead efforts to oppose her ex-company's takeover plan to defend Channel 4.
The potential union of Sky and ITV’s TV business would leave Channel 4 a significantly weaker competitor in the realm of TV and digital ad sales, fueling talk of the need to reconsider some form of partnership with the BBC for future viability.
However, it is the possible consequences on the future of news provision that are causing the most immediate alarm for many within the television industry.
The surprise news last month that Comcast, which controls assets including Universal Studios and acquired Rupert Murdoch’s Sky for £30bn in 2018, makes commercial sense. Traditional broadcasters are facing a profound survival challenge as audiences and revenues continue to swiftly shift to global digital players such as Meta, Google, Amazon, and Netflix.
“Comcast’s bid for ITV is causing nervousness among media watchers, with especial focus for news provision.”
However, the potential £1.6bn purchase of ITV’s television business and streaming service, which would end 70 years of independence, is full of regulatory, political, and competition issues.
Overnight, Comcast would control Sky News and ITV News—including its extensive regional news operation—and become the largest shareholder in ITN, which produces news for ITV, Channel 4, and Channel 5.
While Comcast’s 40% stake in ITN would not be a dominant share—other shareholders include the owner of the Daily Mail, Thomson Reuters, and Informa—it would still be heavily involved in the news output of most of the main commercial broadcasters.
“If a deal materialises, the fate of ITN is an critical one that will concentrate attention politically,” notes one senior TV executive. “Effectively, they will be involved in the news output of all the biggest non-BBC channels.”
Comcast guaranteed to keep funding Sky News for a decade, raising its funding annually in line with inflation, as part of its 2018 takeover of Sky. As that commitment draws closer to ending, concerns have been raised about whether the US company will continue to completely finance Sky News, which has an annual budget of £100m but is thought to make losses of as much as £80m.
It is believed that any deal to buy ITV would include guarantees not to seek permission from media regulator Ofcom to alter the conditions of its public service broadcast licence, which includes duties to national and regional news.
“There are certainly questions about media diversity,” says Stewart Puvis, a former ITN chief executive. “Theoretically, Comcast could, say, merge Sky and ITV News and use its position as a 40% shareholder in ITN to wield power... I would hope Comcast appreciate ways of solving these problems.”
British TV executives have previously cautioned about the risk posed to the UK’s system of public service broadcasters (PSBs) by large parts of the industry being snapped up by US corporations.
Recently, Ofcom published a report warning that public service television, such as news provision and UK-focused content, risks becoming an “endangered species” as viewers migrate to US online platforms and streamers.
The watchdog also revealed data showing that YouTube had overtaken ITV to become the UK’s second most-watched media service, behind only the BBC, with it and Netflix now the two most popular first TV destinations among young people.
There are those who believe that a Sky takeover of ITV, against the landscape of the viewer shift to mostly US digital companies, indicates the need for closer collaboration between the UK’s biggest broadcasters.
“The UK must have its own part of mass media which isn’t US controlled,” says a second broadcasting executive. “It’s a key national priority. I think the government needs to work out how the boards of the PSBs have a new part to their remits that compels them to collaborate.”
Given that advertisers follow eyeballs, a combination of Sky and ITV could create a British TV and streaming giant, with the two companies’ sales houses controlling a dominant share of total ad spend on traditional TV and broadcasters’ streaming services.
Any deal will prompt an investigation by the UK competition watchdog. Sky is hoping the regulator will widen the scope of the ad market to include the impact of giants like YouTube and Facebook.
“I think it will get passed,” says Alex DeGroote, a media analyst. “Comcast will do everything it can to say it will maintain the PSB status quo... But you don’t buy to ultimately keep everything the same. ITV plus Sky would give them a hugely dominant position in the TV ad market.”
Channel 4, which relies on advertising for the vast majority of its income, now faces a weakened BBC as a potential partner and a formidable commercial threat from a combined Sky-ITV.
“We may at some point end up in that situation because of the deep cumulative cuts to the BBC’s funding and because Channel 4, too, has a inherent financial issue,” says Patrick Barwise, an emeritus professor at London Business School. “Channel 4 has repeatedly defied expectations, but that is just postponing the problem. It’s now beginning to reach its limits.”
The continuing debate highlights a wider dilemma for British media: how to safeguard a independent voice and a robust public service ecosystem in an ever more globalised and digitally dominated landscape.
Elara is a seasoned betting analyst with over a decade of experience in sports gambling and data-driven strategy development.